FC Talanta vs Nairobi City Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
14º
13º
34
9º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Talanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KAS
2 - 2
TLT
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TLT
1 - 0
KAK
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIU
0 - 1
TLT
18%
22%
61%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
TLT
0 - 0
POL
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NZO
1 - 0
TLT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nairobi City Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 3
NZO
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
NAI
59%
26%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 1
BAN
38%
29%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ULI
1 - 1
NAI
52%
28%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 0
TUS
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |