Takapuna vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
65.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
12º
11º
29
4º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Takapuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
21%
19%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
TAK
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 0
WAU
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
3 - 4
AFC
13%
17%
70%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 1
WCR
58%
20%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
WES
3 - 1
BAO
79%
13%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 4
WES
8%
12%
81%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
WES
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
ECB
1 - 2
WES
29%
19%
52%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
WES
1 - 3
AUC
12%
18%
70%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | 0 |