Takapuna vs Eastern Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
78.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.6%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
12º
11º
49
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Takapuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MUF
0 - 2
TAK
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 4
MAN
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 0
TAK
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 3
WES
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 1
MEL
21%
19%
61%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 2
AUC
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 3
EAS
64%
19%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
MUF
88%
8%
4%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
1 - 2
EAS
41%
24%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |