Takapuna vs Birkenhead United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
73.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
12º
11º
25
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Takapuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BAO
2 - 3
TAK
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 2
AUC
7%
15%
78%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 5
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MUF
0 - 2
TAK
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 4
MAN
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Birkenhead United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 2
EAS
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 3
MUF
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BIR
2 - 0
MEL
66%
18%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BIR
0 - 3
AFC
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WCR
2 - 1
BIR
8%
12%
80%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | -1 |