Tak Chun Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
68.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tak Chun Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CHF
3 - 1
TCK
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HSA
4 - 4
TCK
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 2
TCK
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TCK
1 - 4
BEN
17%
16%
66%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TOI
0 - 2
TCK
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MCA
7 - 0
TOI
78%
13%
10%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MCA
1 - 3
CPK
44%
20%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MCA
5 - 0
SMA
88%
8%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CHF
0 - 1
MCA
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
MCA
11 - 0
HSA
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |