Tak Chun Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
56.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-103%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tak Chun Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
BMA
3 - 0
TCK
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
BEN
5 - 0
TCK
74%
14%
12%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TCK
1 - 1
SMA
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CPK
4 - 0
TCK
75%
13%
12%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TCK
1 - 0
CHF
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
MCA
0 - 3
CPK
43%
20%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 7
MCA
21%
20%
60%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MCA
4 - 1
CHF
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MCA
9 - 1
CPO
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LUL
1 - 3
MCA
20%
18%
62%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |