Thailand vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
THA
3 - 1
KGZ
90%
7%
2%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
SGP
6 - 4
THA
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2001 |
THA
5 - 4
KWT
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
IDN
1 - 4
THA
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2000 |
THA
2 - 0
MAS
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2001 |
SWE
0 - 1
FIN
80%
15%
5%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
FRO
0 - 0
SWE
9%
21%
70%
|
94 | 59 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
SVK
0 - 0
SWE
18%
25%
57%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
SWE
1 - 1
TUR
74%
18%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
AZE
0 - 1
SWE
7%
20%
74%
|
94 | 64 | 30 | 0 |