Thailand vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
THA
1 - 3
NED
10%
19%
71%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
CHN
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
THA
1 - 1
SGP
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
SGP
2 - 1
THA
27%
23%
50%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
THA
0 - 0
VIE
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 0
TKM
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
GHA
1 - 3
QAT
51%
27%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
QAT
0 - 1
IRN
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 2
BHR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 1
KSA
38%
29%
33%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |