Thailand vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.1%
3.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
THA
2 - 2
IDN
70%
18%
11%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
IDN
0 - 4
THA
15%
18%
67%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
THA
0 - 0
VIE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
VIE
0 - 2
THA
31%
23%
46%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
THA
2 - 0
SGP
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
MUS
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
NPL
1 - 0
MUS
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
IND
3 - 0
NPL
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
NPL
34%
26%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NPL
0 - 1
IND
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |