Thailand vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2008 |
THA
7 - 0
NPL
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
THA
0 - 1
OMA
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CHN
3 - 3
THA
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
JPN
4 - 1
THA
67%
20%
12%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
IRQ
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
SYR
2 - 1
IRQ
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
QAT
2 - 0
IRQ
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
KWT
0 - 0
IRQ
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
IRQ
1 - 1
CHN
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
UAE
0 - 1
IRQ
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |