Thailand vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
PRK
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2007 |
THA
2 - 1
IRQ
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
THA
3 - 2
UZB
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
YEM
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
YEM
1 - 1
THA
17%
19%
65%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
IRQ
3 - 1
UZB
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2007 |
THA
2 - 1
IRQ
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
IRQ
1 - 0
PRK
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PAK
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2007 |
PAK
0 - 7
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 42 | 42 | 0 |