Thailand vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
KSA
3 - 0
THA
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
THA
0 - 0
KSA
37%
28%
36%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
THA
0 - 0
JOR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
THA
3 - 0
OMA
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
AUS
2 - 1
THA
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ECU
5 - 2
JAM
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
ECU
51%
27%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
57%
24%
19%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ECU
4 - 0
CRC
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |