Thailand vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
IRQ
4 - 0
THA
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UAE
3 - 1
THA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
THA
0 - 2
JPN
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
KSA
1 - 0
THA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
QAT
3 - 0
THA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 1
JPN
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
KSA
2 - 2
AUS
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
UAE
0 - 1
AUS
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
AUS
2 - 0
IRQ
71%
19%
11%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
AUS
1 - 2
GRC
57%
25%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |