Thailand vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
THA
2 - 2
IRQ
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
THA
2 - 0
AFG
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
TWN
0 - 2
THA
5%
12%
83%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
THA
1 - 1
BHR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
THA
1 - 0
VIE
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 3
QAT
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
CHN
0 - 0
HKG
82%
14%
4%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 0
MDV
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
HKG
7 - 0
BTN
80%
14%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MAS
0 - 0
HKG
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |