Thailand vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1975 |
THA
1 - 2
IDN
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1975 |
THA
0 - 1
MMR
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1975 |
CHN
2 - 2
THA
89%
7%
3%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1975 |
MAS
1 - 0
THA
74%
15%
11%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
IDN
5 - 0
THA
77%
14%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1975 |
HKG
9 - 1
BGD
82%
13%
6%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1975 |
MAS
3 - 1
HKG
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1975 |
JPN
0 - 2
HKG
80%
13%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 1975 |
KOR
3 - 1
HKG
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
THA
0 - 1
HKG
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |