Thailand vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1970 |
THA
0 - 0
KOR
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1969 |
MMR
3 - 0
THA
66%
17%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
THA
3 - 0
MAS
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 1969 |
MMR
1 - 1
THA
68%
17%
16%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
THA
0 - 0
KOR
36%
22%
42%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1970 |
JPN
1 - 2
HKG
80%
12%
8%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1968 |
VIE
3 - 1
HKG
68%
19%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
IND
1 - 1
HKG
72%
16%
13%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1968 |
HKG
0 - 3
MMR
44%
22%
34%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
THA
0 - 0
HKG
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |