Thailand vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1968 |
THA
1 - 0
IDN
44%
21%
35%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
THA
2 - 1
IRQ
39%
22%
39%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
THA
2 - 1
IDN
42%
21%
37%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1968 |
THA
0 - 4
IRQ
39%
22%
39%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1967 |
THA
5 - 2
LAO
78%
13%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1968 |
MAS
1 - 1
HKG
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
TWN
1 - 1
HKG
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1968 |
IRN
2 - 0
HKG
82%
11%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
ISR
6 - 1
HKG
80%
12%
8%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1968 |
MMR
2 - 0
HKG
79%
13%
9%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |