Thailand vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
THA
1 - 0
OMA
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2005 |
THA
1 - 1
LVA
59%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
THA
1 - 5
GER
18%
24%
58%
|
73 | 95 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
THA
3 - 1
PHL
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2004 |
MAS
2 - 1
THA
20%
22%
58%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 1
LVA
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2005 |
PRK
1 - 2
OMA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
BHR
2 - 3
PRK
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
KOR
3 - 0
PRK
69%
21%
11%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CHN
2 - 0
PRK
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |