Thailand vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
THA
0 - 1
PRK
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
THA
1 - 0
QAT
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
THA
4 - 0
SGP
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
KSA
4 - 1
THA
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2001 |
THA
1 - 1
BHR
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2002 |
THA
0 - 1
PRK
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
PRK
4 - 2
SGP
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
QAT
1 - 1
PRK
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2002 |
SGP
2 - 1
PRK
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
PRK
6 - 5
KWT
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |