Tai Chung vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tai Chung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SHS
4 - 1
TCS
80%
12%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TCS
3 - 5
SHS
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TCS
0 - 2
YTS
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TCS
0 - 4
SDI
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
TCS
23%
19%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
HON
6 - 1
DOU
80%
13%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
HON
1 - 0
CAA
62%
19%
19%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TMS
0 - 7
HON
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
HON
7 - 1
TCS
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
HVA
0 - 7
HON
32%
22%
46%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |