French Polynesia vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
French Polynesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NCL
3 - 5
TAH
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
COK
0 - 1
TAH
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TAH
0 - 4
FIJ
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
TUV
1 - 1
TAH
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
VAN
0 - 0
NCL
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NCL
3 - 5
TAH
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
3 - 0
NCL
88%
10%
3%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NCL
1 - 3
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NCL
3 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |