Tägerwilen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
74.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tägerwilen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TAG
4 - 1
VIS
64%
20%
17%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
FIO
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 1
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 2
LUG
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
LUG
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |