Taffs Well vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
TAF
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
LID
0 - 1
TAF
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
HAV
0 - 0
TAF
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
TAF
3 - 0
MON
62%
19%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TAF
3 - 1
UND
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
1 - 2
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
RIS
3 - 5
GOY
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RIS
0 - 4
GOY
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 1
RIS
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
RIS
2 - 1
CWM
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |