Taffs Well vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
69.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BDG
1 - 1
TAF
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 1
NWC
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
3 - 1
TAF
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TAF
3 - 7
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CWM
2 - 2
TAF
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
PON
1 - 2
LLA
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
LID
2 - 0
PON
18%
23%
58%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CWM
2 - 1
PON
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
PON
4 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | +1 |