Taffs Well vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TAF
1 - 0
CWM
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TAF
2 - 4
TON
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GOY
2 - 4
TAF
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
TAF
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
TAF
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
GOY
0 - 2
PEN
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
GOY
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
MON
0 - 5
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
5 - 2
CAE
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CWM
1 - 5
PEN
45%
23%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |