Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
13º
10º
45
7º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YAF
4 - 3
TAF
11%
14%
75%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 1
LID
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUC
4 - 1
TAF
7%
11%
82%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
TAF
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 3
TAF
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PON
0 - 3
LLA
25%
21%
54%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CWM
2 - 2
LLA
26%
20%
55%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LLA
4 - 0
YAF
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 1
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
LLA
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |