Taffs Well vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 3
TAF
19%
20%
62%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
TAF
0 - 2
ABE
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TAF
3 - 2
BRI
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
GOY
2 - 2
TAF
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
WES
1 - 2
TAF
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
AFC
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
6 - 1
HAV
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |