Taffs Well vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
TAF
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
TAF
2 - 1
TAT
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 4
TAF
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 5
TAF
20%
20%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
TAF
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
CAM
19%
22%
60%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
GAR
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ERA
2 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |