Taffs Well vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TAF
7 - 1
WES
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TAF
2 - 1
GAR
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
BRI
2 - 4
TAF
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
TAF
3 - 1
DIN
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
TAF
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
WES
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
LID
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +4 |