Taffs Well vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2007 |
LID
1 - 0
TAF
61%
23%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
TAF
1 - 2
BRI
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
TAF
1 - 2
MAE
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
TAF
1 - 2
DIN
62%
21%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
TAF
1 - 1
GOY
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
BRY
2 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
CAR
7 - 1
MAE
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +5 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
NEA
5 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | -1 |