Taffs Well vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
ERA
3 - 2
TAF
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
MAE
2 - 0
TAF
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
TAF
1 - 1
BFC
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
BRI
3 - 2
TAF
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
TAF
0 - 1
DIN
55%
23%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 2
GOY
18%
23%
59%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 0
TON
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BRI
1 - 2
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
PON
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |