Taffs Well vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
DIN
0 - 0
TAF
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
CAR
4 - 2
TAF
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
TAF
2 - 3
TON
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
TAF
0 - 0
BAR
35%
24%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
TAF
0 - 7
LLW
46%
23%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
NFC
1 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
TON
2 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
LLW
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 2
GOY
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ATG
2 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -2 |