Taffs Well vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
54%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
GOY
0 - 0
TAF
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAM
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TAF
0 - 0
POR
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
TAF
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TAF
1 - 5
GOY
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAE
31%
24%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
POR
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
RHA
4 - 3
CAE
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAE
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAE
6 - 1
RIS
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |