Taffs Well vs Caerau Ely analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LID
0 - 3
TAF
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
GOY
2 - 0
TAF
39%
22%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
TON
2 - 1
TAF
22%
23%
56%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -3 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PON
1 - 2
TAF
13%
19%
69%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
TAF
55%
21%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAE
3 - 1
LID
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
CAE
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 3
CAE
9%
16%
75%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 4
CAR
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
GAR
2 - 2
CAE
21%
20%
59%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |