Taffs Well vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
13º
10º
60
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAF
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
TAF
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
TAF
2 - 0
ABE
68%
17%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAF
0 - 1
LLA
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YAF
4 - 3
TAF
11%
14%
75%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
SUF
1 - 2
BRI
12%
17%
71%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
8 - 0
ABE
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LID
3 - 2
BRI
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 4
BRI
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 4
BRI
16%
19%
65%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |