Taffs Well vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 0
TAF
52%
22%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 1
CAR
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
TAF
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 2
GOY
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
TAF
0 - 3
BRI
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BDG
5 - 1
FCC
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 1
BDG
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
BDG
3 - 3
CWM
7%
12%
81%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 3
BDG
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
BDG
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +3 |