Tadley Calleva vs AFC Portchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
75.6%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tadley Calleva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 1
TAD
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
TAD
5 - 2
ALT
20%
18%
61%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
TAD
3 - 3
BAD
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
TAD
5 - 0
SHE
39%
22%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TAD
0 - 2
RAY
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Portchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 1
AFC
21%
19%
60%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
LAV
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WEL
1 - 2
AFC
9%
13%
78%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
BEM
3 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 3
AFC
19%
19%
63%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +3 |