Tadamon Sour vs Safa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
2º
1º
10
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tadamon Sour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 2
TAD
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 2
TAD
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 0
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TAD
2 - 0
HIK
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 2
ALN
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALA
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAF
17%
22%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HIK
2 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 1
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |