Tacuary vs Pastoreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
4º
25
6º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
TAC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
TAC
1 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
TAC
2 - 1
RES
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 0
TAC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
TAC
2 - 1
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pastoreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
PFC
3 - 1
RES
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 1
PFC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
PFC
3 - 1
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
IND
2 - 0
PFC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
PFC
0 - 1
AME
25%
27%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |