Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
12º
12º
33
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
TAC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 1
TAC
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 4
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
TAC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 3
LQE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
CCP
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
AME
3 - 2
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 2
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
JLM
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 2
NAC
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |