Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
LQE
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CCP
2 - 1
TAC
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
AME
51%
26%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GEN
1 - 1
TAC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 3
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
IND
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
AUR
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 0
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |