Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
8º
48
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
2DE
3 - 1
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
SPT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 2
TAC
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
4 - 4
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
34%
26%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 3
CCP
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 0
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |