Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
12º
12º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 0
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
EST
4 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
TAC
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATP
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 0
RES
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |