Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
CER
2 - 1
TAC
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
CAR
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 0
TAC
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
RÑU
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIB
25%
30%
45%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |