Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
46%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 1
TAC
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
TAC
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 2
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
SNL
1 - 2
LIB
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 1
LQE
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
29%
29%
43%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
GEN
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |