Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 2
TAC
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 1
CCP
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 0
AME
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
2DE
2 - 3
TAC
43%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 1
LIB
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LIB
4 - 0
AME
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |