Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LQE
2 - 3
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 2
CCP
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
TAC
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
TAC
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 3
DEF
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
12O
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
LIB
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 0
LIB
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |