Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 2
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
LQE
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CCP
6 - 1
TAC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
LIB
3 - 1
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SPT
0 - 1
LIB
26%
29%
46%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
2DE
0 - 0
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 1
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |