Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CCP
1 - 3
TAC
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 3
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
TAC
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
GUA
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
2DE
3 - 3
TAC
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
4 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 2
CCP
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
LIB
5 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 0
LIB
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |