Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
TAC
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 2
TAC
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
TAC
0 - 1
2DE
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
12O
0 - 1
TAC
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
LIB
4 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |